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Red103
427242.6
394725.8
761745.2
Blue81
348742.0
4527.0
874218.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6910102040608012014016010381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.23.8
24.528.3
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End8.7
red by 3.2
42.00.6
38.337.7
Auto14.4
Teleop19.7
End7.9
Second
42.63.8
28.332.2
Auto12.4
Teleop23.9
End6.4
red by 15.6
45
#20
27.00.6
31.831.1
Auto8.6
Teleop10.9
End7.5
Third
3947
#14
25.83.8
15.919.7
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End6.0
red by 7.1
8742
#23
18.71.1
20.419.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned