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Red105
164616.8
29241.7
82935.5
Blue99
761745.2
811623.8
427242.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961235015020010599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#13
41.70.3
41.441.7
Auto11.6
Teleop23.8
End6.3
blue by 3.5
45.20.3
45.244.9
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End8.7
Second
829
#6
35.50.3
35.235.4
Auto12.6
Teleop14.4
End8.5
blue by 7.1
42.60.3
42.642.3
Auto12.4
Teleop23.9
End6.4
Third
1646
#25
16.80.3
16.516.8
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End4.7
blue by 7.0
8116
#21
23.80.3
23.823.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.5