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Red118
427242.6
811623.8
761745.2
Blue98
501038.5
348742.0
458013.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12297608014016018020011898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.2
45.045.2
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End8.7
red by 3.2
42.00.1
42.042.0
Auto14.4
Teleop19.7
End7.9
Second
42.60.2
42.542.6
Auto12.4
Teleop23.9
End6.4
red by 4.1
5010
#12
38.50.1
38.438.5
Auto9.2
Teleop22.5
End6.8
Third
8116
#21
23.80.2
23.723.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.5
red by 10.3
4580
#26
13.50.1
13.513.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End5.9