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Red157
745754.5
32826.1
46156.5
Blue142
314737.9
695629.7
29248.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14911850100200157142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#3
56.50.5
56.156.5
Auto15.3
Teleop33.6
End7.6
red by 7.8
292
#8
48.80.6
48.248.8
Auto13.7
Teleop26.6
End8.4
Second
54.50.5
54.054.5
Auto12.5
Teleop33.4
End8.7
red by 16.7
3147
#18
37.90.6
37.237.9
Auto13.5
Teleop18.7
End5.7
Third
328
#25
26.10.5
25.726.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End7.3
blue by 3.6
6956
#27
29.70.6
29.129.7
Auto9.8
Teleop12.9
End7.1