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Red85
747716.7
695629.7
164631.7
Blue105
386513.8
501044.4
101838.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5984204010012085105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#12
31.71.1
23.124.2
Auto12.6
Teleop13.0
End6.1
blue by 12.7
44.41.3
40.742.0
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.1
Second
6956
#27
29.71.1
20.922.0
Auto9.8
Teleop12.9
End7.1
blue by 9.0
1018
#11
38.71.3
27.228.4
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End7.6
Third
7477
#22
16.71.1
14.515.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End6.4
red by 3.0
3865
#29
13.81.3
8.09.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned