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Red65
164631.7
907120.4
44728.7
Blue122
286734.6
13536.7
874224.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689005010015065122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#12
31.70.1
24.924.8
Auto12.6
Teleop13.0
End6.1
blue by 5.0
135
#10
36.72.7
33.436.1
Auto9.7
Teleop20.9
End6.1
Second
447
#21
28.70.2
28.928.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End9.2
blue by 5.9
34.62.7
27.530.2
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End7.8
Third
9071
#28
20.40.1
12.912.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.3
End5.3
blue by 4.1
8742
#13
24.52.7
20.523.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned