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Red89
101838.7
219731.7
393622.3
Blue129
29248.8
44728.7
501044.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771295010015020089129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#11
38.70.7
29.129.8
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End7.6
blue by 10.0
292
#8
48.81.0
42.543.5
Auto13.7
Teleop26.6
End8.4
Second
2197
#15
31.70.7
29.029.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End8.4
blue by 12.7
44.41.0
42.843.8
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.1
Third
3936
#32
22.30.7
20.621.3
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End1.9
blue by 6.3
447
#21
28.71.7
28.730.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned