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Red93
540233.0
811628.7
101838.7
Blue120
448522.2
492636.6
745754.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80114406010014016018020093120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#11
38.70.9
29.830.7
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End7.6
blue by 15.8
54.50.8
48.849.7
Auto12.5
Teleop33.4
End8.7
Second
5402
#23
33.00.9
28.129.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.8
End8.3
blue by 3.7
36.60.8
28.929.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End6.4
Third
8116
#20
28.70.9
21.122.0
Auto8.9
Teleop14.0
End5.8
red by 6.5
4485
#26
22.21.4
24.726.1
Auto7.7
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned