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Red122
174137.3
501044.4
747716.7
Blue98
219731.7
174720.0
540233.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988020406012014016012298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.41.5
42.844.3
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.1
red by 11.5
5402
#23
33.01.4
29.130.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.8
End8.3
Second
37.31.5
30.331.8
Auto12.7
Teleop17.9
End6.8
red by 5.6
2197
#15
31.71.4
30.732.1
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Third
7477
#22
16.71.5
16.618.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End6.4
blue by 3.3
1747
#17
20.01.4
17.819.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned