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Red125
82942.5
498225.3
164631.7
Blue142
427243.2
101838.7
29248.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8213350100150200125142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#19
42.52.8
37.440.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End6.9
blue by 6.2
292
#8
48.81.6
43.845.4
Auto13.7
Teleop26.6
End8.4
Second
1646
#12
31.72.8
24.327.1
Auto12.6
Teleop13.0
End6.1
blue by 11.5
4272
#14
43.21.6
43.845.3
Auto13.1
Teleop24.8
End5.1
Third
4982
#24
25.32.8
21.624.4
Auto6.3
Teleop13.0
End6.1
blue by 13.4
1018
#11
38.71.6
30.732.3
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned