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Red158
82942.5
172026.2
314737.9
Blue66
501044.4
540233.0
649831.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10411840608014016018015866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#19
42.50.6
40.240.8
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End6.9
blue by 1.9
44.42.9
44.341.5
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.1
Second
3147
#18
37.90.6
34.535.1
Auto13.5
Teleop18.7
End5.7
red by 4.9
5402
#23
33.02.9
30.427.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.8
End8.3
Third
1720
#16
26.20.6
24.725.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End6.2
blue by 5.3
6498
#30
31.52.9
34.331.4
Auto12.0
Teleop15.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsMissed