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Red119
172026.2
498225.3
317643.3
Blue118
174137.3
44728.7
82942.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9711320406080140160180119118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.9
43.244.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.9
End7.8
red by 0.7
829
#19
42.50.9
41.242.1
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End6.9
Second
1720
#16
26.20.9
26.127.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End6.2
blue by 11.1
37.30.9
35.936.8
Auto12.7
Teleop17.9
End6.8
Third
4982
#24
25.30.9
24.125.0
Auto6.3
Teleop13.0
End6.1
blue by 3.3
447
#21
28.71.1
27.328.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned