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Red117
695629.7
492636.6
811628.7
Blue131
501044.4
907120.4
286734.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210220406080120140160180117131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.6
34.736.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End6.4
blue by 7.8
44.41.4
42.644.0
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.1
Second
6956
#27
29.71.6
26.227.8
Auto9.8
Teleop12.9
End7.1
blue by 4.9
34.61.4
32.734.2
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End7.8
Third
8116
#20
28.71.6
26.828.5
Auto8.9
Teleop14.0
End5.8
red by 8.3
9071
#28
20.41.4
19.020.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned