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Red135
747716.7
102447.4
46156.5
Blue87
695629.7
174137.3
427243.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079640608012014016018020013587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#3
56.51.7
44.045.7
Auto15.3
Teleop33.6
End7.6
red by 13.4
4272
#14
43.20.3
44.644.3
Auto13.1
Teleop24.8
End5.1
Second
47.41.7
42.544.2
Auto12.1
Teleop29.3
End6.0
red by 10.0
37.30.3
25.925.6
Auto12.7
Teleop17.9
End6.8
Third
7477
#22
16.71.7
12.814.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End6.4
blue by 13.0
6956
#27
29.70.3
21.220.9
Auto9.8
Teleop12.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed