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Red103
649831.5
164631.7
540233.0
Blue123
874224.5
82942.5
286734.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021066080120140160103123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#23
33.00.1
33.033.0
Auto7.8
Teleop16.8
End8.3
blue by 9.6
829
#19
42.50.5
41.642.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.4
End6.9
Second
1646
#12
31.70.1
31.831.7
Auto12.6
Teleop13.0
End6.1
blue by 2.8
34.60.5
33.734.2
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End7.8
Third
6498
#30
31.50.1
31.631.5
Auto12.0
Teleop15.8
End3.7
red by 7.0
8742
#13
24.50.5
23.624.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.4
End5.7