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Red154
219731.7
501044.4
427243.2
Blue129
314737.9
695629.7
29248.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011650100150200154129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.6
44.845.4
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.1
blue by 4.4
292
#8
48.80.3
47.047.3
Auto13.7
Teleop26.6
End8.4
Second
4272
#14
43.20.6
43.644.2
Auto13.1
Teleop24.8
End5.1
red by 5.3
3147
#18
37.90.3
36.136.3
Auto13.5
Teleop18.7
End5.7
Third
2197
#15
31.70.6
32.132.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.4
End8.4
red by 2.0
6956
#27
29.70.3
27.928.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.9
End7.1