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Red188
198766.2
192360.8
608153.3
Blue199
58757.6
403960.6
169064.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194185140160200220240188199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#33
66.20.1
66.266.3
Auto17.3
Teleop37.8
End9.2
red by 1.3
1690
#31
64.91.3
67.068.2
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3
Second
1923
#32
60.80.1
62.762.9
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
red by 0.1
4039
#43
60.61.3
63.464.7
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End9.4
Third
6081
#23
53.30.1
53.353.4
Auto15.7
Teleop27.4
End9.6
blue by 4.3
587
#38
57.61.3
55.356.6
Auto14.4
Teleop33.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned