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Red161
248164.1
721160.0
156150.3
Blue202
590754.3
198766.2
368362.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174184050100150200250300350161202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.10.3
60.860.5
Auto15.4
Teleop37.7
End9.0
blue by 2.1
1987
#33Sur
66.21.7
65.667.3
Auto17.3
Teleop37.8
End9.2
Second
7211
#61
60.00.3
59.559.2
Auto16.6
Teleop33.0
End8.6
blue by 2.5
3683
#18
62.51.7
61.062.7
Auto14.5
Teleop37.9
End7.6
Third
1561
#51Sur
50.30.3
47.947.5
Auto13.8
Teleop29.7
End8.0
blue by 4.0
5907
#28
54.31.7
54.155.7
Auto15.4
Teleop28.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned