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Red183
81850.6
291075.7
353862.5
Blue180
548446.9
3368.2
789061.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186171050100150250300183180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.70.5
74.274.7
Auto16.5
Teleop42.8
End10.9
red by 7.5
33
#13
68.20.8
63.464.2
Auto17.1
Teleop37.9
End10.9
Second
3538
#19
62.50.5
61.461.9
Auto14.4
Teleop36.7
End9.5
red by 1.2
7890
#14
61.30.8
56.357.1
Auto16.2
Teleop33.7
End8.9
Third
818
#36
50.60.5
48.549.1
Auto13.4
Teleop27.6
End7.9
red by 3.7
5484
#29
46.90.8
47.548.3
Auto15.0
Teleop24.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned