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Red158
261455.0
364162.1
173250.8
Blue153
192360.8
501051.4
164633.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16015450100200250158153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#17
62.10.6
56.857.4
Auto13.0
Teleop38.9
End8.2
red by 1.3
1923
#32
60.80.5
60.661.1
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
Second
2614
#37
55.00.6
46.346.9
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End7.8
red by 3.6
5010
#52
51.40.5
49.650.1
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End7.8
Third
1732
#58
50.80.6
50.751.3
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End7.1
red by 17.0
1646
#69
33.80.5
35.335.8
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned