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Red193
69567.3
46161.9
253968.3
Blue137
19559.9
1152.2
173250.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194177100150250193137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.30.1
67.067.1
Auto14.2
Teleop43.3
End9.0
red by 8.4
195
#50
59.92.2
65.663.4
Auto12.4
Teleop38.5
End7.1
Second
695
#8
67.30.1
64.864.8
Auto14.1
Teleop39.7
End9.0
red by 15.1
11
#46
52.22.2
55.252.9
Auto13.0
Teleop28.3
End9.6
Third
461
#21
61.90.1
62.062.1
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End8.9
red by 11.2
1732
#58
50.82.2
55.553.2
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned