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Red173
205678.0
590754.3
745758.3
Blue144
931256.9
164633.8
69567.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195156100250173144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#35
78.01.2
82.981.8
Auto18.4
Teleop46.0
End8.4
red by 10.7
695
#8
67.30.6
65.965.3
Auto14.1
Teleop39.7
End9.0
Second
7457
#16
58.31.2
58.857.6
Auto12.7
Teleop37.1
End6.6
red by 1.4
9312
#34
56.90.6
55.855.3
Auto11.5
Teleop34.8
End9.3
Third
5907
#28
54.31.2
50.849.7
Auto15.4
Teleop28.3
End8.7
red by 20.5
1646
#69
33.80.6
35.535.0
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned