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Red206
291075.7
248164.1
205678.0
Blue136
276766.0
463550.4
394054.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213175140160200240260280206136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#35
78.00.2
83.383.5
Auto18.4
Teleop46.0
End8.4
red by 12.0
2767
#45
66.02.6
68.265.6
Auto17.5
Teleop36.9
End9.9
Second
75.70.2
74.574.6
Auto16.5
Teleop42.8
End10.9
red by 21.1
3940
#53
54.72.6
55.452.8
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End7.7
Third
64.10.2
59.960.1
Auto15.4
Teleop37.7
End9.0
red by 13.7
4635
#48
50.42.6
53.951.3
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsMissed