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Red105
402865.6
463550.4
353862.5
Blue154
81850.6
460762.8
192360.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186178120140160200220105154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#44
65.65.0
66.761.7
Auto17.5
Teleop38.3
End7.6
red by 2.8
4607
#15
62.81.0
63.762.7
Auto15.0
Teleop36.1
End9.3
Second
3538
#19
62.55.0
63.258.2
Auto14.4
Teleop36.7
End9.5
red by 1.8
1923
#32
60.81.0
60.959.9
Auto13.5
Teleop38.0
End10.2
Third
4635
#48
50.45.0
51.746.7
Auto15.0
Teleop25.6
End7.7
blue by 0.3
818
#36
50.61.0
46.845.8
Auto13.4
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsMissed97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned