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Red168
253968.3
93066.9
501051.4
Blue154
427256.5
58757.6
335761.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19817550100150250168154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.31.1
67.466.4
Auto14.2
Teleop43.3
End9.0
red by 6.7
3357
#20
61.60.8
62.561.6
Auto13.7
Teleop33.9
End11.0
Second
930
#10
66.91.1
70.169.1
Auto15.3
Teleop40.2
End8.3
red by 9.3
587
#38
57.60.8
58.657.7
Auto14.4
Teleop33.1
End7.9
Third
5010
#52
51.41.1
51.850.7
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End7.8
blue by 5.1
4272
#40
56.50.8
54.653.8
Auto14.6
Teleop32.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned