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Red161
46951.4
318458.1
460762.8
Blue157
761745.4
205678.0
173250.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176175140150160170180190200161157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#15
62.80.5
62.762.2
Auto15.0
Teleop36.1
End9.3
blue by 15.2
2056
#35
78.00.7
81.881.0
Auto18.4
Teleop46.0
End8.4
Second
3184
#25
58.10.5
56.556.0
Auto14.5
Teleop32.1
End7.4
red by 7.4
1732
#58
50.80.7
49.949.2
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End7.1
Third
469
#64
51.40.5
51.751.2
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End7.9
red by 6.0
7617
#63
45.40.7
43.342.6
Auto13.4
Teleop26.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned