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Red176
745758.3
24556.3
169064.9
Blue189
102446.0
291075.7
46161.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1851820100300400500176189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#31
64.90.1
64.564.6
Auto17.5
Teleop38.0
End6.3
blue by 10.9
75.70.7
76.477.2
Auto16.5
Teleop42.8
End10.9
Second
7457
#16
58.30.1
59.259.3
Auto12.7
Teleop37.1
End6.6
blue by 3.6
461
#21
61.90.7
61.262.0
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End8.9
Third
245
#7
56.30.1
57.858.0
Auto15.3
Teleop31.0
End7.9
red by 10.3
1024
#66
46.00.7
45.846.6
Auto14.7
Teleop24.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned