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Red199
246873.1
81850.6
93066.9
Blue189
604557.1
11865.7
394054.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19617150100150250300199189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#12
73.11.1
71.172.2
Auto17.8
Teleop43.8
End10.3
red by 7.4
118
#26
65.72.0
63.261.1
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End10.2
Second
930
#10
66.91.1
69.170.2
Auto15.3
Teleop40.2
End8.3
red by 9.8
6045
#57
57.11.3
56.958.2
Auto12.1
Teleop36.6
End6.8
Third
818
#36
50.61.1
48.149.2
Auto13.4
Teleop27.6
End7.9
blue by 4.0
3940
#53
54.71.3
53.054.4
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned