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Red173
276766.0
353862.5
365553.7
Blue161
46951.4
516658.0
364162.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188176050100150250300350400173161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#45
66.00.5
66.465.9
Auto17.5
Teleop36.9
End9.9
red by 3.8
3641
#17
62.10.5
63.663.2
Auto13.0
Teleop38.9
End8.2
Second
3538
#19
62.50.5
62.461.9
Auto14.4
Teleop36.7
End9.5
red by 4.6
5166
#67
58.00.5
58.558.0
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End6.6
Third
3655
#49
53.70.5
54.253.7
Auto10.5
Teleop33.2
End7.6
red by 2.3
469
#64
51.40.5
51.951.4
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed