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Red202
402865.6
11176.4
93066.9
Blue210
248164.1
170663.8
467867.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207194100150250300202210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#5
76.40.1
76.376.4
Auto18.6
Teleop43.6
End10.9
red by 8.4
4678
#59
67.90.5
68.268.7
Auto18.5
Teleop38.6
End6.3
Second
930
#10
66.90.1
66.866.9
Auto15.3
Teleop40.2
End8.3
red by 2.8
64.10.5
64.464.8
Auto15.4
Teleop37.7
End9.0
Third
4028
#44
65.60.1
65.665.6
Auto17.5
Teleop38.3
End7.6
red by 1.8
63.80.5
64.164.6
Auto14.5
Teleop40.8
End8.0