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Red138
711228.2
333951.8
703945.6
Blue80
610425.5
267929.3
673836.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133785010015020013880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#15
51.80.5
47.848.4
Auto12.8
Teleop31.3
End7.1
red by 15.3
6738
#26
36.50.0
32.332.3
Auto8.9
Teleop19.1
End8.7
Second
7039
#16
45.60.5
45.846.3
Auto10.8
Teleop27.2
End7.6
red by 16.3
2679
#40
29.30.0
26.726.7
Auto10.4
Teleop12.2
End6.7
Third
7112
#30
28.20.5
24.324.9
Auto11.3
Teleop8.3
End8.7
red by 2.6
6104
#43
25.50.0
20.920.9
Auto8.4
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned