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Red150
157768.6
194324.3
598757.0
Blue118
703945.6
433829.5
157450.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14711750100200150118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.7
63.964.6
Auto12.9
Teleop44.3
End8.9
red by 17.8
50.80.5
44.944.3
Auto12.4
Teleop30.0
End8.2
Second
57.00.7
49.950.6
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End8.0
red by 11.4
7039
#16
45.60.5
46.946.4
Auto10.8
Teleop27.2
End7.6
Third
1943
#27
24.30.7
23.524.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.6
End4.8
blue by 5.2
4338
#38
29.50.5
22.021.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsMissed