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Red162
565446.2
169060.0
157450.8
Blue91
433829.5
706737.2
157632.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1638205010015020016291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.6
57.257.8
Auto16.4
Teleop34.2
End8.2
red by 22.7
7067
#24
37.20.1
36.936.8
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Second
50.80.6
44.345.0
Auto12.4
Teleop30.0
End8.2
red by 18.8
1576
#29
32.00.1
28.928.8
Auto9.6
Teleop14.6
End7.9
Third
46.20.6
43.744.3
Auto8.3
Teleop29.5
End8.2
red by 16.7
4338
#38
29.50.1
21.521.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned