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Red132
432028.7
321142.1
459040.5
Blue131
563536.1
610425.5
333951.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107111050150200250300132131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#18
42.11.7
36.037.7
Auto15.1
Teleop21.1
End6.0
blue by 9.7
3339
#15
51.81.5
48.750.2
Auto12.8
Teleop31.3
End7.1
Second
4590
#14
40.51.7
40.141.9
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.3
red by 4.4
5635
#28
36.11.5
34.135.6
Auto12.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
Third
4320
#25
28.71.7
24.826.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.8
red by 3.2
6104
#43
25.51.5
20.622.1
Auto8.4
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned