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Red107
157450.8
930324.1
706737.2
Blue106
308322.1
513545.4
571541.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11210250150200107106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.2
46.446.6
Auto12.4
Teleop30.0
End8.2
red by 5.5
5135
#12
45.40.3
40.540.8
Auto11.8
Teleop23.1
End9.4
Second
7067
#24
37.20.2
37.337.5
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End8.6
blue by 4.0
41.20.3
36.536.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
Third
9303
#33
24.10.2
20.420.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.0
End7.9
red by 1.9
3083
#35
22.10.3
19.820.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned