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Red124
209644.6
338841.9
194324.3
Blue84
331637.8
673836.5
711228.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510670809010011012013014012484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#22
44.61.2
36.838.1
Auto12.7
Teleop25.0
End6.4
red by 6.8
3316
#34
37.80.9
34.733.8
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End9.2
Second
3388
#17
41.91.2
40.141.4
Auto9.1
Teleop23.4
End9.4
red by 5.4
6738
#26
36.50.9
32.731.7
Auto8.9
Teleop19.1
End8.7
Third
1943
#27
24.31.2
23.324.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.6
End4.8
blue by 3.9
7112
#30
28.20.9
30.529.6
Auto11.3
Teleop8.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned