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Red116
599047.5
598757.0
193726.4
Blue106
817529.9
333951.8
432028.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211050100150200116106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.01.0
50.249.2
Auto12.5
Teleop36.0
End8.0
red by 5.2
3339
#15
51.80.7
50.650.0
Auto12.8
Teleop31.3
End7.1
Second
47.51.0
43.442.5
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
red by 17.6
8175
#37
29.90.7
29.128.4
Auto12.3
Teleop11.9
End5.8
Third
1937
#44
26.41.0
27.326.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
blue by 2.3
4320
#25
28.70.7
26.525.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsMissed