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Red113
459040.5
616841.5
610425.5
Blue108
307545.2
194324.3
466121.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209050100150113108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#32
41.50.0
42.542.4
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End5.7
blue by 3.7
3075
#23
45.21.0
43.444.4
Auto11.7
Teleop24.8
End8.5
Second
4590
#14
40.50.0
42.442.4
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End8.3
red by 16.2
1943
#27
24.31.0
24.625.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.6
End4.8
Third
6104
#43
25.50.0
23.523.4
Auto8.4
Teleop10.7
End6.5
red by 3.7
4661
#36
21.91.0
20.021.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned