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Red143
784548.7
565446.2
193726.4
Blue105
555431.8
817529.9
308322.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1307950100150200143105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#10
48.71.0
44.745.8
Auto13.7
Teleop25.9
End9.0
red by 16.9
5554
#41
31.80.9
31.532.5
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Second
46.21.0
44.345.3
Auto8.3
Teleop29.5
End8.2
red by 16.3
8175
#37
29.90.9
28.429.3
Auto12.3
Teleop11.9
End5.8
Third
1937
#44
26.41.0
26.327.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.6
End5.9
red by 4.3
3083
#35
22.10.9
21.022.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed