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Red90
571541.2
466121.9
165739.3
Blue137
209644.6
599047.5
555431.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001125015020090137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.7
35.935.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.7
End8.5
blue by 6.3
47.52.2
35.437.7
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End5.0
Second
1657
#45
39.30.7
40.339.5
Auto8.2
Teleop25.3
End5.6
blue by 5.3
2096
#22
44.62.2
40.042.2
Auto12.7
Teleop25.0
End6.4
Third
4661
#36
21.90.7
19.518.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End5.5
blue by 10.0
5554
#41
31.82.2
28.430.6
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsEarned