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Red129
223151.6
157768.6
267929.3
Blue137
338841.9
263054.4
432028.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610950100200129137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.2
64.163.9
Auto12.9
Teleop44.3
End8.9
red by 14.3
54.41.6
46.648.2
Auto15.3
Teleop31.0
End7.7
Second
51.60.2
43.042.8
Auto14.2
Teleop27.9
End9.1
red by 9.7
3388
#17
41.91.6
38.940.5
Auto9.1
Teleop23.4
End9.4
Third
2679
#40
29.30.2
26.726.5
Auto10.4
Teleop12.2
End6.7
red by 0.6
4320
#25
28.71.6
21.923.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned