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Red79
263032.7
466119.5
616829.7
Blue95
565434.0
209624.0
433818.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647920401001201407995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.9
25.026.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End9.5
blue by 1.3
34.00.3
25.625.9
Auto9.4
Teleop16.1
End8.5
Second
6168
#12
29.71.9
20.122.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End6.7
red by 5.7
24.00.3
25.125.4
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End7.2
Third
4661
#21
19.51.9
16.918.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End4.0
red by 0.6
4338
#15
18.80.3
21.321.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned