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Red105
157428.5
674018.5
157756.4
Blue47
466119.5
431922.8
513525.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9256015010547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.42.0
42.644.6
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 31.1
25.31.1
20.619.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End7.0
Second
1574
#11
28.52.0
23.225.2
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End7.4
red by 5.6
4319
#13
22.81.1
16.415.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.0
End5.4
Third
6740
#14
18.52.0
16.118.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End5.1
blue by 1.0
4661
#21
19.51.1
20.118.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed