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Red90
209624.0
169054.0
616829.7
Blue87
555413.9
223025.1
263032.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93700501502009087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.6
39.940.5
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End10.2
red by 21.3
32.71.9
26.324.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End9.5
Second
6168
#12
29.70.6
19.620.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End6.7
red by 4.6
2230
#10
25.11.9
19.417.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
Third
24.00.6
25.125.7
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End7.2
red by 10.1
5554
#25
13.91.9
23.121.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed