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Red115
157616.3
263032.7
157756.4
Blue61
555413.9
308315.1
706723.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11450010015011561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.41.4
50.752.2
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 33.0
23.40.1
25.025.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End9.1
Second
32.71.4
33.034.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End9.5
red by 17.6
3083
#20
15.10.1
17.717.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End4.6
Third
1576
#16
16.31.4
15.016.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 2.3
5554
#25
13.90.1
12.312.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned