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Red89
157428.5
338820.3
431922.8
Blue96
616829.7
513525.3
674018.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707240506080901001108996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
#11
28.50.7
27.528.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End7.4
blue by 1.2
6168
#12
29.71.1
27.228.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End6.7
Second
4319
#13
22.80.7
19.820.4
Auto8.4
Teleop9.0
End5.4
blue by 2.5
25.31.1
22.823.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End7.0
Third
3388
#17
20.30.7
18.819.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
red by 1.8
6740
#14
18.51.1
16.918.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed