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Red124
223025.1
263032.7
338820.3
Blue83
209624.0
157428.5
306523.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828005010015012483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.1
32.632.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End9.5
red by 4.2
1574
#11
28.50.6
28.128.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End7.4
Second
2230
#10
25.10.1
24.624.5
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
red by 1.1
24.00.6
23.023.6
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End7.2
Third
3388
#17
20.30.1
19.419.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
blue by 3.4
3065
#19
23.70.6
23.924.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsMissed