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Red85
616829.7
599021.6
673818.7
Blue98
513525.3
321121.3
565434.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70842040601001201408598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#12
29.70.9
28.329.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.4
End6.7
blue by 4.3
34.00.8
33.534.3
Auto9.4
Teleop16.1
End8.5
Second
21.60.9
20.521.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End5.2
blue by 3.7
25.30.8
23.924.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End7.0
Third
6738
#22
18.70.9
18.519.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End5.3
blue by 2.6
21.30.8
19.620.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned