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Red53
338820.3
157616.3
513525.3
Blue88
263032.7
169054.0
194315.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529401505388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.1
18.118.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End7.0
blue by 28.7
54.00.6
40.541.1
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End10.2
Second
3388
#17
20.30.1
19.819.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
blue by 12.4
32.70.6
24.425.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End9.5
Third
1576
#16
16.30.1
16.416.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 1.3
1943
#23
15.00.6
17.718.3
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned