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Red36
930410.0
321121.3
223025.1
Blue115
157756.4
308315.1
306523.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54800204010012014016036115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#10
25.12.0
17.615.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
blue by 31.3
56.43.1
30.834.0
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Second
21.32.0
21.919.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.9
End6.3
blue by 2.5
3065
#19
23.73.1
21.224.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End6.5
Third
9304
#24
10.02.0
14.512.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End4.2
blue by 5.0
3083
#20
15.13.1
19.822.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned